Poll shows Ossoff with 4-point lead over Collins in Ga. Senate race

ATLANTA, Ga. — Incumbent Democratic U.S. Sen. Jon Ossoff holds a four-point lead over Republican challenger U.S. Rep. Mike Collins in Georgia’s high-stakes Senate race, according to a newly released poll.

The survey of 645 likely voters, conducted Sept. 14–16 by Quantus Insights, found Ossoff leading Collins 48.2% to 44.4% on the initial ballot. Another 6.5% of respondents were undecided, while nearly 1% preferred a third-party option.

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When voters who initially leaned toward a candidate were included, Ossoff’s support rose to 49% compared to 44.9% for Collins, with 5.2% remaining entirely undecided. The poll carried an overall margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points, placing the race within competitive territory with neither candidate capturing an outright majority.

The poll revealed demographic and regional divides shaping the contest:

• Gender: Ossoff built a advantage among women, leading 54% to 37%. Conversely, Collins carried male voters by a 10-point margin, 52% to 42%.
• Race: Voting preferences showed clear racial divisions. Ossoff led among Black voters 82% to 10%, while Collins held a strong advantage among white voters, 61% to 31%.
• Age: Ossoff led across younger demographics, including 58% to 29% among voters ages 18–29 and 53% to 37% among those ages 30–44. The race narrowed to 48% to 45% in Ossoff’s favor among voters ages 45–64, while Collins led among voters 65 and older, 55% to 41%.

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Both candidates retained solid support within their respective party bases, securing 93% each.

Among self-identified independent voters, Ossoff led 42% to 29%. However, 26% of independents reported being undecided, representing an uncommitted voting bloc that could prove decisive as both campaigns enter the final weeks before Election Day.

Geographically, Ossoff held a 55% to 38% advantage in the voter-heavy Atlanta media market, while Collins countered with a 61% to 33% lead across rural Georgia. In suburban communities, the contest remained divided, with Ossoff ahead at 48% to 44%.

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The poll also measured voter sentiment toward each candidate’s image:

• Ossoff: Viewed favorably by 51.4% and unfavorably by 45.8% (a net-positive rating of 5.6 points). Only 2.8% of voters said they were unfamiliar with the first-term senator or held no opinion.
• Collins: Viewed favorably by 44.7% and unfavorably by 41.0% (a net-positive rating of 3.7 points). Notably, 14.3% of respondents said they were unfamiliar with the congressman or had not yet formed an opinion.