Wednesday's game between the Minnesota Twins (87-75) and the Toronto Blue Jays (89-73) at Target Field is expected to be a close matchup, as our computer prediction projects a final score of 5-3, with the Twins securing the victory. Game time is at 4:38 PM ET on October 4.

This contest's pitching matchup is set, as the Twins will send Sonny Gray (8-8) to the mound, while Jose Berrios (11-12) will take the ball for the Blue Jays.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Game Info & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 4:38 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: ESPN
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo!

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Twins vs. Blue Jays Score Prediction

Our prediction for this contest is Twins 5, Blue Jays 4.

Total Prediction for Twins vs. Blue Jays

  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

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Read More About This Game

Twins Performance Insights

  • The Twins have played as the favorite in 10 of their past 10 games and won seven of those contests.
  • In its last 10 games with a total, Minnesota and its opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • Oddsmakers have not set a spread for any of the Twins' last 10 games.
  • The Twins have won 68, or 60.7%, of the 112 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has entered 71 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 38-33 in those contests.
  • The Twins have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Minnesota has scored 778 runs this season, which ranks 10th in MLB.
  • The Twins' 3.87 team ERA ranks fifth across all MLB pitching staffs.

Blue Jays Performance Insights

  • The Blue Jays have played as the underdog in four of their past 10 games and have gone 2-2 in those contests.
  • When it comes to the total, Toronto and its foes are 6-4-0 in its last 10 contests.
  • The previous 10 Blue Jays contests have not had a spread set by bookmakers.
  • The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 41 games this year and have walked away with the win 22 times (53.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Toronto has come away with a win three times in six chances when named as an underdog of at least +120 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Blue Jays have a 45.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • The offense for Toronto is the No. 14 offense in MLB, scoring 4.6 runs per game (746 total runs).
  • Blue Jays pitchers have a combined ERA of 3.82 ERA this year, fourth-best in baseball.

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Twins Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 28 Athletics L 2-1 Sonny Gray vs Luis Medina
September 29 @ Rockies W 7-6 Joe Ryan vs Ty Blach
September 30 @ Rockies W 14-6 Emilio Pagán vs Matt Koch
October 1 @ Rockies L 3-2 Bailey Ober vs Brent Suter
October 3 Blue Jays W 3-1 Pablo Lopez vs Kevin Gausman
October 4 Blue Jays - Sonny Gray vs José Berríos

Blue Jays Schedule

Date Opponent Score Pitching Matchup
September 28 Yankees W 6-0 Chris Bassitt vs Luke Weaver
September 29 Rays W 11-4 Yusei Kikuchi vs Aaron Civale
September 30 Rays L 7-5 Hyun-Jin Ryu vs Shawn Armstrong
October 1 Rays L 12-8 Wes Parsons vs Jacob Lopez
October 3 @ Twins L 3-1 Kevin Gausman vs Pablo Lopez
October 4 @ Twins - José Berríos vs Sonny Gray